Washington House 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Elizabeth Kreiselmaier a 33% chance of winning the Washington House 2022 primary. Elizabeth Kreiselmaier won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Elizabeth Kreiselmaier — 33% model odds (won)
  2. Todd A. Bloom — 33% model odds (won)
  3. Chris Binns — 33% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts