Washington House 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Cathy Mcmorris Rodgers a 50% chance of winning the Washington House 2022 primary. Cathy Mcmorris Rodgers won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Cathy Mcmorris Rodgers — 50% model odds (won)
2. Sean Clynch — 50% model odds (won)

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts