Washington House 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Dan Newhouse a 35% chance of winning the Washington House 2022 primary. Dan Newhouse won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Dan Newhouse — 35% model odds (won)
  2. Loren Culp — 33% model odds (won)
  3. Jerrod Sessler — 12% model odds
  4. Corey Gibson — 6% model odds
  5. Benancio "Benny," Iii Garcia — 5% model odds
  6. Jacek Kobiesa — 5% model odds
  7. Brad Klippert — 4% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts