Washington House 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Jaime Herrera Beutler a 30% chance of winning the Washington House 2022 primary. Jaime Herrera Beutler won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Jaime Herrera Beutler — 30% model odds (won)
  2. Joe Kent — 29% model odds (won)
  3. Heidi St. John — 24% model odds
  4. Vicki Kraft — 8% model odds
  5. Leslie L. French — 8% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts