Washington House 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Marie Gluesenkamp Perez a 50% chance of winning the Washington House 2022 primary. Marie Gluesenkamp Perez won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Marie Gluesenkamp Perez — 50% model odds (won)
2. Davy Ray — 50% model odds (won)

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts