Washington House 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Dan Matthews a 50% chance of winning the Washington House 2022 primary. Dan Matthews won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Dan Matthews — 50% model odds (won)
  2. Leif Johnson — 13% model odds
  3. Cody Hart — 7% model odds (won)
  4. Bill Wheeler — 7% model odds
  5. Carrie R. Kennedy — 7% model odds
  6. Jon Welch — 7% model odds
  7. Brandon Lee Stalnaker — 7% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts