Washington House 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Vincent J. Cavaleri a 43% chance of winning the Washington House 2022 primary. Vincent J. Cavaleri won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Vincent J. Cavaleri — 43% model odds (won)
2. Matthew Heines — 33% model odds (won)
3. Derek K. Chartrand — 24% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts