Vermont House 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Liam Madden a 17% chance of winning the Vermont House 2022 primary. Liam Madden won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Liam Madden — 17% model odds (won)
2. Ericka Bundy Redic — 17% model odds
3. Anya Tynio — 17% model odds
4. Scattered — 17% model odds
5. Barbara Nolfi — 17% model odds
6. Scattered — 17% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts