Vermont House 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Becca Balint a 20% chance of winning the Vermont House 2022 primary. Becca Balint won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Becca Balint — 20% model odds (won)
2. Molly Gray — 20% model odds
3. Louis Meyers — 20% model odds
4. Sianay Chase Clifford — 20% model odds
5. Scattered — 20% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts