Virginia House 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Donald S., Jr. Beyer a 95% chance of winning the Virginia House 2022 primary. Donald S., Jr. Beyer won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Donald S., Jr. Beyer — 95% model odds (won)
  2. Victoria I. Virasingh — 5% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts