Virginia House 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Yesli I. Vega a 43% chance of winning the Virginia House 2022 primary. Yesli I. Vega won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Yesli I. Vega — 43% model odds (won)
  2. Bryce E. Reeves — 34% model odds
  3. Derrick M. Anderson — 14% model odds
  4. Crystal L. Vanuch — 3% model odds
  5. David L. Ross — 3% model odds
  6. Gina R. Ciarcia — 3% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts