Virginia House 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Jen A. Kiggans a 55% chance of winning the Virginia House 2022 primary. Jen A. Kiggans won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Jen A. Kiggans — 55% model odds (won)
  2. Jarome Bell — 31% model odds
  3. L. Tommy, Iii Altman — 7% model odds
  4. Andrew G. "Andy" Baan — 7% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts