Utah House 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave John Curtis an 80% chance of winning the Utah House 2022 primary. John Curtis won, matching the model's top pick.

1. John Curtis — 80% model odds (won)
2. Tim Aalders — 8% model odds
3. Lyman Wight — 6% model odds
4. Christopher Niles Herrod — 3% model odds
5. Jason Preston — 3% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts