Texas House 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Wesley Hunt a 62% chance of winning the Texas House 2022 primary. Wesley Hunt won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Wesley Hunt — 62% model odds (won)
  2. Mark Ramsey — 7% model odds
  3. Roland Lopez — 6% model odds
  4. David Hogan — 4% model odds
  5. Brett Guillory — 4% model odds
  6. Jerry Ford — 4% model odds
  7. Richard Welch — 4% model odds
  8. Alex Cross — 4% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts