Texas House 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Diana Martinez Alexander an 82% chance of winning the Texas House 2022 primary. Duncan F. Klussmann won — an upset relative to the model's favorite.

  1. Diana Martinez Alexander — 82% model odds
  2. Duncan F. Klussmann — 18% model odds (won)

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts