Texas House 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Lloyd Doggett a 77% chance of winning the Texas House 2022 primary. Lloyd Doggett won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Lloyd Doggett — 77% model odds (won)
  2. Donna Imam — 8% model odds
  3. Chris Jones — 8% model odds
  4. Quinton "Q" Beaubouef — 8% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts