Texas House 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Dan Mcqueen a 10% chance of winning the Texas House 2022 primary. Dan Mcqueen won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Dan Mcqueen — 10% model odds (won)
  2. Michael Rodriguez — 10% model odds
  3. Bill Condict — 10% model odds
  4. Marilyn Jackson — 10% model odds
  5. Dan Sawatzki — 10% model odds
  6. Jennifer Sundt — 10% model odds
  7. Sam Montoya — 10% model odds
  8. Alejandro Ledezma — 10% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts