Texas House 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Greg Casar a 62% chance of winning the Texas House 2022 primary. Greg Casar won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Greg Casar — 62% model odds (won)
  2. Eddie Rodriguez — 22% model odds
  3. Rebecca Viagran — 11% model odds
  4. Carla-Joy Sisco — 4% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts