Texas House 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Vicente Gonzalez a 42% chance of winning the Texas House 2022 primary. Vicente Gonzalez won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Vicente Gonzalez — 42% model odds (won)
  2. Filemon Meza — 21% model odds
  3. Laura Cisneros — 8% model odds
  4. William Thompson — 8% model odds
  5. Diego Zavala — 8% model odds
  6. Osbert Rodriguez Haro — 8% model odds
  7. Beatriz Reynoso — 6% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts