Texas House 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Patrick David Gillespie a 50% chance of winning the Texas House 2022 primary. Patrick David Gillespie won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Patrick David Gillespie — 50% model odds (won)
  2. Robert Mac Glaflin — 50% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts