Texas House 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave John Carter an 81% chance of winning the Texas House 2022 primary. John Carter won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. John Carter — 81% model odds (won)
  2. Mike Williams — 9% model odds
  3. Abhiram Garapati — 9% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts