Texas House 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave James Rodgers a 50% chance of winning the Texas House 2022 primary. James Rodgers won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. James Rodgers — 50% model odds (won)
  2. James "J. Frank" Harris — 50% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts