Texas House 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Jasmine Crockett a 52% chance of winning the Texas House 2022 primary. Jasmine Crockett won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Jasmine Crockett — 52% model odds (won)
  2. Jane Hope Hamilton — 48% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts