Texas House 2022 — Model Retrospective
The model's final pre-election forecast gave Jasmine Crockett a 26% chance of winning the Texas House 2022 primary. Jasmine Crockett won, matching the model's top pick.
- Jasmine Crockett — 26% model odds (won)
- Jane Hope Hamilton — 20% model odds
- Jessica Mason — 20% model odds
- Barbara Mallory Caraway — 17% model odds
- Abel Mulugheta — 4% model odds
- Keisha Williams-Lankford — 3% model odds
- Roy, Jr. Williams — 3% model odds
- Vonciel Jones Hill — 3% model odds