Texas House 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Jaimy Blanco a 44% chance of winning the Texas House 2022 primary. Robert Schafranek won — an upset relative to the model's favorite.

  1. Jaimy Blanco — 44% model odds
  2. Robert Schafranek — 22% model odds (won)
  3. Lulite Ejigu — 22% model odds
  4. Julio Garza — 13% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts