Texas House 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Cassy Garcia a 46% chance of winning the Texas House 2022 primary. Cassy Garcia won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Cassy Garcia — 46% model odds (won)
  2. Willie Vasquez Ng — 36% model odds
  3. Steven Fowler — 5% model odds
  4. Rolando Rodriguez — 5% model odds
  5. Sandra Whitten — 3% model odds
  6. Ed Cabrera — 3% model odds
  7. Eric Hohman — 3% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts