Texas House 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Michael Cloud an 88% chance of winning the Texas House 2022 primary. Michael Cloud won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Michael Cloud — 88% model odds (won)
  2. A.J. Louderback — 3% model odds
  3. Chris Mapp — 3% model odds
  4. Eric Mireles — 3% model odds
  5. Andrew Alvarez — 3% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts