Texas House 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Maclovio, Jr. Perez a 58% chance of winning the Texas House 2022 primary. Maclovio, Jr. Perez won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Maclovio, Jr. Perez — 58% model odds (won)
  2. Anthony J. Tristan — 29% model odds
  3. Victor Melgoza — 13% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts