Texas House 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Michael C. Burgess an 88% chance of winning the Texas House 2022 primary. Michael C. Burgess won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Michael C. Burgess — 88% model odds (won)
  2. Raven Harrison — 3% model odds
  3. Isaac Smith — 3% model odds
  4. Vincent Gallo — 3% model odds
  5. Brian Brazeal — 3% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts