Texas House 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Chip Roy an 87% chance of winning the Texas House 2022 primary. Chip Roy won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Chip Roy — 87% model odds (won)
  2. Dana Zavorka — 7% model odds
  3. Robert Lowry — 3% model odds
  4. Michael Alexander French — 3% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts