Texas House 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Claudia Andreana Zapata an 88% chance of winning the Texas House 2022 primary. Claudia Andreana Zapata won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Claudia Andreana Zapata — 88% model odds (won)
  2. Ricardo Villarreal — 12% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts