Texas House 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Claudia Andreana Zapata a 71% chance of winning the Texas House 2022 primary. Claudia Andreana Zapata won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Claudia Andreana Zapata — 71% model odds (won)
  2. Scott William Sturm — 7% model odds
  3. Coy Gee, Ii Branscum — 6% model odds
  4. Ricardo Villarreal — 6% model odds
  5. David, Jr. Anderson — 5% model odds
  6. Cherif Gacis — 5% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts