Texas House 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Pete Sessions an 87% chance of winning the Texas House 2022 primary. Pete Sessions won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Pete Sessions — 87% model odds (won)
  2. Jason "Stormchaser" Nelson — 7% model odds
  3. Paulette Carson — 3% model odds
  4. Rob Rosenberger — 3% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts