Texas House 2022 — Model Retrospective
The model's final pre-election forecast gave Michelle Vallejo a 38% chance of winning the Texas House 2022 primary. Ruben Ramirez won — an upset relative to the model's favorite.
- Michelle Vallejo — 38% model odds
- Ruben Ramirez — 31% model odds (won)
- John Villarreal Rigney — 25% model odds
- Eliza Alvarado — 2% model odds
- Vanessa Stephanie Tijerina — 2% model odds
- Julio Garza — 2% model odds