Texas House 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Kay Granger an 81% chance of winning the Texas House 2022 primary. Kay Granger won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Kay Granger — 81% model odds (won)
  2. Ryan J. Catala — 9% model odds
  3. Alysia Rieg — 9% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts