Texas House 2022 — Model Retrospective
The model's final pre-election forecast gave Christian Collins a 38% chance of winning the Texas House 2022 primary. Morgan Luttrell won — an upset relative to the model's favorite.
- Christian Collins — 38% model odds
- Morgan Luttrell — 38% model odds (won)
- Jessica Wellington — 6% model odds
- Jonathan Hullihan — 2% model odds
- Dan Mckaughan — 2% model odds
- Candice C. Burrows — 2% model odds
- Chuck Montgomery — 2% model odds
- Michael Philips — 2% model odds