Texas House 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Johnny Teague a 50% chance of winning the Texas House 2022 primary. Johnny Teague won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Johnny Teague — 50% model odds (won)
  2. Rudy A. Atencio — 11% model odds
  3. Benson Gitau — 11% model odds
  4. Tina Blum Cohen — 7% model odds
  5. Lance Stewart — 7% model odds
  6. Laique Rehman — 7% model odds
  7. Tim Stroud — 7% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts