Texas House 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Van # Taylor a 62% chance of winning the Texas House 2022 primary. Van # Taylor won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Van # Taylor — 62% model odds (won)
2. Keith # Self — 23% model odds
3. Suzanne Harp — 5% model odds
4. Rickey Williams — 5% model odds
5. Jeremy D. Ivanovskis — 5% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts