Texas House 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Dan Crenshaw a 79% chance of winning the Texas House 2022 primary. Dan Crenshaw won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Dan Crenshaw — 79% model odds (won)
  2. Jameson Ellis — 7% model odds
  3. Martin Etwop — 7% model odds
  4. Milam Langella — 7% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts