Texas House 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Jrmar Jefferson a 78% chance of winning the Texas House 2022 primary. Jrmar Jefferson won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Jrmar Jefferson — 78% model odds (won)
  2. Victor D. Dunn — 22% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts