Tennessee House 2022 — Model Retrospective
The model's final pre-election forecast gave Robby Starbuck Newsom a 44% chance of winning the Tennessee House 2022 primary. Andy Ogles won — an upset relative to the model's favorite.
- Robby Starbuck Newsom — 44% model odds
- Andy Ogles — 17% model odds (won)
- Beth Harwell — 17% model odds
- Kurt Winstead — 5% model odds
- Jeff Beierlein — 3% model odds
- Natisha Brooks — 3% model odds
- Geni Batchelor — 3% model odds
- Timothy Bruce Lee — 3% model odds