South Carolina Senate 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Krystle Matthews a 33% chance of winning the South Carolina Senate 2022 primary. Catherine Fleming Bruce won — an upset relative to the model's favorite.

1. Krystle Matthews — 33% model odds
2. Catherine Fleming Bruce — 33% model odds (won)
3. Angela Geter — 33% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts