South Carolina House 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Russell Fry a 51% chance of winning the South Carolina House 2022 primary. Russell Fry won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Russell Fry — 51% model odds (won)
  2. Tom Rice — 34% model odds
  3. Barbara Arthur — 3% model odds
  4. Ken Richardson — 3% model odds
  5. Garrett Barton — 3% model odds
  6. Mark Mcbride — 3% model odds
  7. Spencer A. Morris — 3% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts