South Carolina House 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave William Timmons a 90% chance of winning the South Carolina House 2022 primary. William Timmons won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. William Timmons — 90% model odds (won)
  2. Mark Burns — 3% model odds
  3. Michael "Mike" Lapierre — 3% model odds
  4. George Abuzeid — 3% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts