South Carolina House 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Nancy Mace a 48% chance of winning the South Carolina House 2022 primary. Nancy Mace won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Nancy Mace — 48% model odds (won)
  2. Katie Arrington — 46% model odds
  3. Lynz Piper-Loomis — 6% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts