Rhode Island House 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Seth M. Magaziner a 45% chance of winning the Rhode Island House 2022 primary. Seth M. Magaziner won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Seth M. Magaziner — 45% model odds (won)
  2. David A. Segal — 35% model odds
  3. Sarah E. Morgenthau — 12% model odds
  4. Joy Fox — 3% model odds
  5. Omar Bah — 2% model odds
  6. Spencer E. Dickinson — 2% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts