Pennsylvania Senate 2022 — Model Retrospective
The model's final pre-election forecast gave David H. Mccormick a 35% chance of winning the Pennsylvania Senate 2022 primary. Mehmet Oz won — an upset relative to the model's favorite.
- David H. Mccormick — 35% model odds
- Mehmet Oz — 33% model odds (won)
- Kathy J. Barnette — 21% model odds
- Jeffrey A. Bartos — 2% model odds
- Carla Herd Sands — 2% model odds
- Sean Peter Gale — 2% model odds
- George A. Bochetto — 2% model odds
- Scattered — 2% model odds