Pennsylvania House 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Dan Pastore an 88% chance of winning the Pennsylvania House 2022 primary. Dan Pastore won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Dan Pastore — 88% model odds (won)
  2. Scattered — 9% model odds
  3. Richard E. Telesz — 3% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts