Pennsylvania House 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Summer Lee a 79% chance of winning the Pennsylvania House 2022 primary. Summer Lee won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Summer Lee — 79% model odds (won)
  2. Steven Dane Irwin — 4% model odds
  3. Gerald Dickinson — 4% model odds
  4. Jeffrey D. Woodard — 4% model odds
  5. William Parker — 4% model odds
  6. Scattered — 4% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts