Pennsylvania House 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Lloyd K. Smucker a 78% chance of winning the Pennsylvania House 2022 primary. Lloyd K. Smucker won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Lloyd K. Smucker — 78% model odds (won)
  2. Scattered — 22% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts